Last week, Simon Stevens warned the NHS Providers conference: “On the current funding outlook, the
NHS waiting list will rise to 5 million people by 2021… the government would have to publicly, legally abolish patients’ national waiting times guarantees.”
Waiting times expert Rob Findlay has calculated how much it would cost the government to get 18 week waits back on track. He says: “In short, the government has a choice: constrain the money and abandon the right to treatment within 18 weeks, or cough up and honour it.”
The abridged version is: “With some guesses about the costs per case, I calculate recovering 18 weeks sustainably might cost £2.1bn next year and £350m the year after, if other pressures and enough mainstream capacity are funded. Or £4.2bn next year and £1bn the year after, if austerity continues.”
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